Do you feel DVD will prevail against Blu-ray & HD-DVD?
I regard DVD will win the format war.
Answers: I guess once the price of HD-DVD players falls they'll win out. I'd like it to be blu-ray but I lately don't see it happening at smallest for the time being. I regard as the general progression would be to move about to HD-DVD first then to blu-ray. Not the sudden dive.
Really, DVD isn't in competition against HD-DVD and Blu-ray... one of those will replace it as the standard video medium.
Sales numbers are very similar to years ago when VHS accounted for 90%+ and DVD and Divix and such be fighting it out to become the format to succeed VHS.
We are closing contained by on the change over to HD broadcast signal contained by the US... even now due to this we are seeing mostly HD television. With the capability of these screen to display higher resolution, it solitary makes sense that society will seek out devices effective of displaying this.
Since DVD cannot, and the new formats can... one of those will win. And the newer formats are more attractive too since they carry on legacy compatibility next to DVD.
Oh... and just for the transcription, your numbers add up to 197%? Doesn't be paid too much sense.
You are comparing numbers incorrectly.
Sales are actually roughly 95% DVD, 3% Blu-ray and 2% HD DVD.
And yes I think Blu-Ray and HD DVD will remain niche formats next to maximum sales of 10-15%.
The eventual "winner" contained by the format battle to see who replaces DVD will most credible be on-line media. Think compact disc (analogous to DVD), think SACD vs DVD-A as the competing HD audio formats (analogous to HD DVD and Blu-ray), and afterwards think what won the audio empire ... MP3.
There will be arguments that downloadable HD video isn't going to happen because bandwidth doesn't exist to support it. And if we are discussing 1080p downloads I'd agree, but most inhabitants will be happy beside 720p and this is much more feasible, chiefly with further advance in codecs to allow lower bandwidth.
The audio world proved consumers advantage convenience over quality (think MP3), and like peas in a pod will happen for video.
Blu-ray and/or HD DVD may survice as a glorious quality (and greater priced) alternative to download and DVD (which will still exist for a long time to come). Think Criterion DVDs vs regular.
Anyway .. interesting question.
The subsequent step in home theater will be HD. There won't be any going vertebrae to an old format. DVD will be around for a while but it won't pound out a hi def format.
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